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By
Dr. Richard Geist Ph.D.
Dr.
Richard Geist is President of The Institute of Psychology
and Investing, Inc., established to provide consultation
to brokerage firms, money managers, financial planners,
and small companies in the areas of management consultation,
psychological stress, impact of psychology on investor performance,
risk, public relations and marketing, and planner or broker/client
relationships. He publishes and edits a micro-cap market
newsletter, Richard Geist's Strategic Investing,
which integrates the psychological aspects of investing
into a five to ten year strategy for selecting small company
stocks.
Dr.
Geist received his undergraduate degree and his doctorate
in Psychology from Harvard University and is Instructor,
Department of Psychiatry, Harvard Medical School; and Founding
Member and Faculty, Massachusetts Institute for Psychoanalysis.
He has presented papers on issues such as The Psychology
of Investor Mistakes, Psychological Stresses of Managing
Money, The Emotions of Risk, Interviewing Management, Herd
Mentality, and Broker/Client Relationships. Dr. Geist is
Co-Editor of The Psychology of Investing (Wiley, 1999),
and on the Board of Directors of the Institute of Psychology
and Markets and the Investors Research Institute, and a
member of Dick Davis Publishing Editor's Roundtable.
Dr.
Geist is also Co-Director of Harvard Medical School's annual
Psychology of Investor Conference. He writes independent
research reports for small and emerging companies.
The Successful Investor
Most
successful micro-cap investors appear to discern risk differently
than the average investor. Rather than viewing risk as either
chance or consequence of loss, they seem to experience it
as de-coupled from loss. They are closer to John Maynard
Keynes' 1921 statement that "most of our decisions
to do something positive can only be taken as a result of
animal spirits...and not as the outcome of a weighted average
of quantitative benefits multiplied by qualitative probabilities."
Successful
micro-cap investors do not eschew risk, but they certainly
seem to emphasize the possibility of reward over risk. What
substitutes for risk is the intellectual challenge of studying
products, services, and management. This intellectual challenge
allows for failure while turning decision making into an
art that is enjoyed for its own sake--an art that is accompanied
by a strong belief in their own capacities.
This
is why many successful micro-cap investors avoid diversification
as a method for minimizing risk. These investors seem to
know that, as Peter Bernstein once said, "diversification
doesn't prevent loss; it just prevents loss all at once."
Successful micro-cap investors have enough confidence in
their own research and decision-making that they can concentrate
their investments to take advantage of their own investment
judgment.
Do I have what it takes?
To
decide whether the micro-cap market is the right place for
you to invest, try asking yourself the following questions.
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Am I capable of intuitive, inductive, imaginative thinking?
-
Do
I feel comfortable and have the courage to follow my own
convictions?
-
Can
I tolerate making mistakes and be willing to analyze them?
-
Am
I able to step back from emotional turmoil and separate
facts from emotion?
-
Do
I understand the idiosyncratic lenses through which I'm
likely to view the world?
-
Am
I able to view risk as an intellectual challenge to solve
rather than fear it as chance of loss?
If
you are able to answer positively to these questions, you
are emotionally ready to take on the task and challenge
of micro-cap investing.
(c)
1999 Richard Geist
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